{"id":10630,"date":"2021-05-04T14:43:44","date_gmt":"2021-05-04T13:43:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ihedn.fr\/?p=10630"},"modified":"2021-06-09T15:04:22","modified_gmt":"2021-06-09T14:04:22","slug":"anticiper-et-prevenir-les-dimensions-securitaires-du-changement-climatique","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ihedn.fr\/en\/uncategorized\/anticiper-et-prevenir-les-dimensions-securitaires-du-changement-climatique\/","title":{"rendered":"Anticipating and preventing the security dimensions of climate change"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"10630\" class=\"elementor elementor-10630\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-d16ae78 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"d16ae78\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-803f05d\" data-id=\"803f05d\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6ce77c7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"6ce77c7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h1 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Anticipating and preventing the security dimensions of climate change<\/h1>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-307dca8 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"307dca8\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-acdef6f\" data-id=\"acdef6f\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5f3e657 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"5f3e657\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0e35590 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"0e35590\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h4 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Committee 6-1<\/h4>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-96589d8 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"96589d8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5745aa2 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"5745aa2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>The aggravation of existing stresses, the real risk of France becoming involved in resolving crises linked to climate change, the strain on the State budget and potential price inflation, as well as the possibility of having to intervene on several fronts at the same time, have led the authors of this work to make 10 recommendations relating to the national territory and the conduct of internal and external operations from a strategic perspective. In order to determine the nature and location of the main strategic challenges for France, a map is proposed to identify the countries where the human security challenges will be greatest and where the conduct of military operations will be most affected. Two synthetic indicators have been chosen: GDP and the number of days when the average temperature is above 40\u00b0C.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-84af8b0 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"84af8b0\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"wp-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1846\" height=\"1303\" src=\"https:\/\/ihedn.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/carte-6-1.jpg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full wp-image-10639\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ihedn.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/carte-6-1.jpg 1846w, https:\/\/ihedn.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/carte-6-1-1536x1084.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1846px) 100vw, 1846px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"widget-image-caption wp-caption-text\">Countries with increased security risks (temperature rise of 4\u00b0C)<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7cb58fa elementor-position-inline-end elementor-view-default elementor-mobile-position-block-start elementor-widget elementor-widget-icon-box\" data-id=\"7cb58fa\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"icon-box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-box-wrapper\">\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-box-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/ihedn.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/IHEDN-72e-SN-POLDEF-C6.1-Note-operationnelle.pdf\" class=\"elementor-icon\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-label=\"Download the article\">\n\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fas-file-download\" viewbox=\"0 0 384 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M224 136V0H24C10.7 0 0 10.7 0 24v464c0 13.3 10.7 24 24 24h336c13.3 0 24-10.7 24-24V160H248c-13.2 0-24-10.8-24-24zm76.45 211.36l-96.42 95.7c-6.65 6.61-17.39 6.61-24.04 0l-96.42-95.7C73.42 337.29 80.54 320 94.82 320H160v-80c0-8.84 7.16-16 16-16h32c8.84 0 16 7.16 16 16v80h65.18c14.28 0 21.4 17.29 11.27 27.36zM377 105L279.1 7c-4.5-4.5-10.6-7-17-7H256v128h128v-6.1c0-6.3-2.5-12.4-7-16.9z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-box-content\">\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"elementor-icon-box-title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/ihedn.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/IHEDN-72e-SN-POLDEF-C6.1-Note-operationnelle.pdf\" >\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tDownload the article\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-eadd9d9 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default elementor-invisible\" data-id=\"eadd9d9\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;animation&quot;:&quot;bounceInRight&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-background-overlay\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-6112a9c\" data-id=\"6112a9c\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-inner-section elementor-element elementor-element-0ac4746 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"0ac4746\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-fcec9c8\" data-id=\"fcec9c8\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-aa1d925 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"aa1d925\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h5 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Key words :<\/h5>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9f18367 elementor-invisible elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"9f18367\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_animation&quot;:&quot;bounceInRight&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\">Climate Security Defence Anticipation Conflicts Strategy Map<\/p><p style=\"text-align: right;\">POLDEF, 72SNPD, 72POLDEF<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><strong><span style=\"color: #c80a23;\">Committee 6-1<\/span><\/strong><br \/>\nThe aggravation of existing stresses, the real risk of France becoming involved in resolving crises linked to climate change, the strain on the State budget and potential price inflation, as well as the possibility of having to intervene on several fronts at the same time, have led the authors of this report to make 10 recommendations relating to the national territory and the conduct of domestic and external operations from a strategic perspective. <\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10680,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10630","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Anticiper et pr\u00e9venir les dimensions s\u00e9curitaires du changement climatique - L&#039;IHEDN : Institut des hautes \u00e9tudes de d\u00e9fense nationale<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ihedn.fr\/en\/travaux-des-auditeurs\/anticiper-et-prevenir-les-dimensions-securitaires-du-changement-climatique\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Anticiper et pr\u00e9venir les dimensions s\u00e9curitaires du changement climatique - L&#039;IHEDN : Institut des hautes \u00e9tudes de d\u00e9fense nationale\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Comit\u00e9 6-1 L\u2019aggravation de stress existants, le risque r\u00e9el de voir une France engag\u00e9e notamment dans la r\u00e9solution de crises li\u00e9es au changement climatique, la mise sous tension du budget de l\u2019\u00c9tat et une potentielle inflation sur les prix, ainsi que la possibilit\u00e9 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