{"id":47844,"date":"2024-05-31T15:35:08","date_gmt":"2024-05-31T14:35:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ihedn.fr\/?p=47844"},"modified":"2024-05-31T15:36:18","modified_gmt":"2024-05-31T14:36:18","slug":"le-futur-de-la-proliferation-nucleaire-apres-la-guerre-en-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ihedn.fr\/en\/veille-strategique\/le-futur-de-la-proliferation-nucleaire-apres-la-guerre-en-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"\"The future of nuclear proliferation after the war in Ukraine\"."},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"47844\" class=\"elementor elementor-47844\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-25cf675 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"25cf675\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-f3ba09f\" data-id=\"f3ba09f\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-254228e elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"254228e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>The article reviews the arguments predicting an acceleration in nuclear proliferation in the years ahead and shows how the literature partly overestimates the risks of proliferation since the strategic breakthrough brought about by the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The only exceptions, in the author's view, are the Middle East and East Asia, where the United States will be able and willing to use its influence.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-56cf714 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"56cf714\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-8a23d72\" data-id=\"8a23d72\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1d5cb98 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1d5cb98\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><em><strong><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Marianne; font-size: medium;\">Nicolas MILLER, Proliferation Papers, No. 67, Ifri, April 2024<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-b25c284\" data-id=\"b25c284\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d6cca6f elementor-align-right elementor-mobile-align-center elementor-widget-mobile__width-inherit elementor-invisible elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"d6cca6f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_animation&quot;:&quot;fadeInUp&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-xs\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ifri.org\/en\/publications\/etudes-de-lifri\/proliferation-papers\/future-nuclear-proliferation-after-war-ukraine\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fas-arrow-alt-circle-right\" viewbox=\"0 0 512 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M256 8c137 0 248 111 248 248S393 504 256 504 8 393 8 256 119 8 256 8zM140 300h116v70.9c0 10.7 13 16.1 20.5 8.5l114.3-114.9c4.7-4.7 4.7-12.2 0-16.9l-114.3-115c-7.6-7.6-20.5-2.2-20.5 8.5V212H140c-6.6 0-12 5.4-12 12v64c0 6.6 5.4 12 12 12z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">Visit<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019article passe en revue les arguments pr\u00e9voyant une acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration de la prolif\u00e9ration nucl\u00e9aire dans les ann\u00e9es \u00e0 venir et montre comment la litt\u00e9rature surestime en partie les risques de prolif\u00e9ration depuis la rupture strat\u00e9gique entra\u00een\u00e9e notamment par l\u2019invasion russe de l\u2019Ukraine. Seuls le Moyen-Orient et l\u2019Asie de l\u2019Est constituent une exception pour l\u2019auteur, qui consid\u00e8re [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[175],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47844","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-veille-strategique"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u00ab Le futur de la prolif\u00e9ration nucl\u00e9aire apr\u00e8s la guerre en Ukraine \u00bb - L&#039;IHEDN : Institut des hautes \u00e9tudes de d\u00e9fense nationale<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Au travers d\u2019une \u00e9tude chiffr\u00e9e, l\u2019auteur pr\u00e9sente l\u2019\u00e9volution de l\u2019\u00e9conomie de l\u2019armement de la Russie depuis deux ans.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ihedn.fr\/en\/comprendre\/veille-strategique\/le-futur-de-la-proliferation-nucleaire-apres-la-guerre-en-ukraine\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00ab Le futur de la prolif\u00e9ration nucl\u00e9aire apr\u00e8s la guerre en Ukraine \u00bb\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Au travers d\u2019une \u00e9tude chiffr\u00e9e, l\u2019auteur pr\u00e9sente l\u2019\u00e9volution de l\u2019\u00e9conomie de l\u2019armement de la Russie depuis deux ans.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/ihedn.fr\/en\/comprendre\/veille-strategique\/le-futur-de-la-proliferation-nucleaire-apres-la-guerre-en-ukraine\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"L&#039;IHEDN : Institut des hautes \u00e9tudes de d\u00e9fense nationale\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ihedn\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-05-31T14:35:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-05-31T14:36:18+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Ad\u00e8le Thoumieux\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\u00ab Le futur de la prolif\u00e9ration nucl\u00e9aire apr\u00e8s la guerre en Ukraine \u00bb\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Au travers d\u2019une \u00e9tude chiffr\u00e9e, l\u2019auteur pr\u00e9sente l\u2019\u00e9volution de l\u2019\u00e9conomie de l\u2019armement de la Russie depuis deux ans.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@IHEDN\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@IHEDN\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Ad\u00e8le Thoumieux\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ihedn.fr\\\/comprendre\\\/veille-strategique\\\/le-futur-de-la-proliferation-nucleaire-apres-la-guerre-en-ukraine\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ihedn.fr\\\/comprendre\\\/veille-strategique\\\/le-futur-de-la-proliferation-nucleaire-apres-la-guerre-en-ukraine\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Ad\u00e8le Thoumieux\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ihedn.fr\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/16d49c2bd0121499ea9b9023ce89826c\"},\"headline\":\"\u00ab Le futur de la prolif\u00e9ration nucl\u00e9aire apr\u00e8s la guerre en Ukraine \u00bb\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-05-31T14:35:08+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-05-31T14:36:18+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ihedn.fr\\\/comprendre\\\/veille-strategique\\\/le-futur-de-la-proliferation-nucleaire-apres-la-guerre-en-ukraine\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":104,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ihedn.fr\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Veille strat\u00e9gique\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ihedn.fr\\\/comprendre\\\/veille-strategique\\\/le-futur-de-la-proliferation-nucleaire-apres-la-guerre-en-ukraine\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ihedn.fr\\\/comprendre\\\/veille-strategique\\\/le-futur-de-la-proliferation-nucleaire-apres-la-guerre-en-ukraine\\\/\",\"name\":\"\u00ab Le futur de la prolif\u00e9ration nucl\u00e9aire apr\u00e8s la guerre en Ukraine \u00bb - 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