France's sovereignty in 2050. How is the armaments sector changing?

Back in 2008, in its report Global trends 2025: a Transformed World, the US National Intelligence Council (NIC) warned of the very high probability of a pandemic occurring before 2025, originating in a region of the world with a high human population density marked by promiscuity between humans and animals, such as China. The SARS COV2 or Covid-19 pandemic proved him right. The same report also identifies the seeds of potential accidental military conflagrations: tensions in the South China Sea and Russian destabilisation efforts on Europe's doorstep. However, unlike the counter-insurgency operations that armies have been facing for several decades, a confrontation between major or medium-sized powers would trigger the same shortage mechanisms that the world experienced during the first containment phase in 2020, but for a much longer period and across a much wider range of products, including those linked to the arms industry. This prospect raises questions about the ability of the most active nations on the international stage, and France in particular, to guarantee the continuity of their strategic activities in such circumstances, and hence their full sovereignty. Several complementary lines of thought can therefore be examined.